Claims Browser

Technical watermarking is clearly good to do if the costs are low

"technical watermarking seems clearly good to do if the costs are low"

75% of Americans now oppose local data center development

"75% of Americans Now Oppose Local Data Center Development"

There are 49 large data centers in Loudoun County, Virginia and over 700 across America, but zero in San Francisco

"Why are there 49 large data centers in Loudoun County, Virginia—more than 700 across America—and the striking total of zero in San Francisco?"

AI industry has current revenues in tens of billions or low hundreds of billions against Capex in the trillions

"we are talking about current revenues in the tens of billions (or low hundreds of billions if you are really optimistic), against Capex in the trillions"

Republicans are abandoning data centers like rats abandoning sinking ships

"Republicans are abandoning data centers like rats abandoning sinking ships"

No industry in history has spoiled its own prospects faster than the AI industry

"Perhaps no industry in history has spoiled its own prospects faster than the AI industry"

The heroes of 2023 have become the villains of 2026 through greed, stupidity, and arrogance

"Through a mixture of greed, stupidity, and arrogance, the heroes of 2023 have become the villains of 2026"

Big tech companies might be more screwed than expected given how toxic data centers have become

"at this point the big tech companies might be more screwed than I thought, given how toxic data centers have become"

Models will keep absorbing the harness into their weights until it becomes a harness for human attention rather than for the model

"Models keep absorbing the harness into their weights — soon, it will be a harness for human attention rather than for the model."

Every year since 2022, one more component of the pipeline that produces machine intelligence has flipped from human-made to model-made

"Every year since 2022, one more component of the pipeline that produces machine intelligence has flipped from human-made to model-made. Not gradually, and not evenly — each flip has a patient zero, a paper or product where the synthetic version first became load-bearing at a frontier lab, and from there on, the future is simply here but not yet productionized."

The reward signal was the first thing to go synthetic in 2022 with InstructGPT and Constitutional AI

"The first thing to go synthetic was, counterintuitively, the judge. InstructGPT established the now-canonical trick: collect human preferences once, train a reward model, and let the policy optimize against the model rather than the humans."

Anthropic announced they will watermark the text outputs of their Claude models using an invisible watermarking technique

"a few days ago, Anthropic announced that they will watermark the text outputs of their Claude models"

The watermark is invisible to users and only Anthropic can decode it to determine if text was generated by their Claude models

"And this watermark is invisible to users, so only they can decode it and find out whether the text has their watermark."

Anthropic's revenue in Q2 may not recur at the same scale next year after the collapse of tokenmaxxing, as companies like ATT turn to open source models to save costs

"THE big issue for Anthropic is that the kind of revenue they were making in the second quarter of this year may well not recur, at the same scale, next year, now that, in the aftermath of the collapse of tokenmaxxing, companies like ATT are increasingly turning to open source models from other vendors, in order to save costs."

Researchers discovered a vulnerability where encrypted reasoning state from proprietary LLM APIs can be stolen by replaying blobs across users and having smaller models decrypt the traces

"The core bug sounds deceptively simple: providers return encrypted reasoning state so conversations can be resumed or forked. But those blobs can be replayed across users and sibling models. A smaller model can ask the provider to decrypt the trace, then repeat the hidden reasoning in plain text."

The stolen reasoning traces vulnerability enables leaked private data, broadly reusable jailbreaks, and poisoned agent traces

"The discussion covers leaked private data, a broadly reusable jailbreak, poisoned agent traces, chain-of-thought monitoring, responsible disclosure, and possible defenses."

Spiking Actor Network Soft Actor Critic (SANSAC) demonstrates near equivalent performance to traditional SAC in continuous environments on conventional hardware

"We demonstrate the near equivalent performance of SANSAC and SAC, while addressing the impact of hidden dimensions. Our results demonstrate the viability of SNN based algorithms in complex continuous environments, as well as competitive performance to traditional neural networks in traditional computers"

JANUS improves CMA-ES on 11-15 out of 16 BBOB functions across dimensions 30, 100, and 500 without requiring offline training

"Under same-protocol comparisons, JANUS improves the CMA-ES host on \textbf{11--15/16} BBOB functions across $d\in\{30,100,500\}$. It also attains the best mean error on \textbf{13 of the 16} functions at $d{=}500$ in the complete NN-BBO/MetaBBO baseline comparison, with no training cost"