Live evidence ledger

Evidence ledger, claim reliability.

Global corpus counts cover every admitted claim. Selected cards below are a prediction-first slice with a canonical source URL and a verbatim quote. Prediction outcomes and next observables are shown only when a durable prediction row exists.

1558

Admitted claims

Global admitted corpus · source + verbatim quote required

1558/1558

Quote coverage

Of the global admitted corpus

75

Open predictions

0 overdue · 75 admitted predictions

0

Resolved outcomes

1483 evidence-only claims

Selected rows

Live admitted claims

Prediction-first selection: admitted prediction rows appear before evidence-only rows, then newest first.

04prediction · policyPending

NVIDIA benefits from open/local AI models because broader local inference adoption increases demand for consumer and workstation GPUs.

@swyx-alessio · swyx & Alessio

Original quote

NVIDIA benefits from open/local models because broader local inference adoption increases demand for consumer and workstation GPUs

Outcome so far

No outcome evidence recorded.

Next observable

None recorded.

05prediction · policyPending

If stewardship of llama.cpp changes in a way that harms portability, the likely response would be to fork the project and continue development independently.

@swyx-alessio · swyx & Alessio

Original quote

One commenter noted that if stewardship changes in a way that harms portability, the likely response would be to fork llama.cpp and continue development independently.

Outcome so far

No outcome evidence recorded.

Next observable

None recorded.

06prediction · policyPending

A Nvidia acquisition of Hugging Face would also bring substantial control over llama.cpp/ggml, because Hugging Face hired core maintainers including Georgi Gerganov.

@swyx-alessio · swyx & Alessio

Original quote

The post speculates that a Nvidia acquisition of Hugging Face would also bring substantial control over llama.cpp/ggml, because Hugging Face hired core maintainers including Georgi Gerganov in Feb. 2026 to continue development

Outcome so far

No outcome evidence recorded.

Next observable

None recorded.

07prediction · policyPending

An acquisition could threaten the availability of abliterated, uncensored, or otherwise policy-sensitive models on Hugging Face.

@swyx-alessio · swyx & Alessio

Original quote

There was concern that an acquisition could threaten availability of abliterated, uncensored, or otherwise policy-sensitive models

Outcome so far

No outcome evidence recorded.

Next observable

None recorded.

08prediction · policyPending

The industry may be shifting from monolithic agent apps to an open runtime + router + plugin stack, where the harness becomes part of the model system.

@swyx-alessio · swyx & Alessio

Original quote

the industry may be shifting from monolithic “agent apps” toward an open runtime + router + plugin stack, where the harness becomes part of the model system.

Outcome so far

No outcome evidence recorded.

Next observable

None recorded.

09prediction · policyPending

Local CLI agents are increasingly giving way to cloud agents with shared context, memory, service integrations, and logs access.

@swyx-alessio · swyx & Alessio

Original quote

local CLI agents are increasingly giving way to cloud agents with shared context, memory, service integrations, and logs access

Outcome so far

No outcome evidence recorded.

Next observable

None recorded.