Claims Browser

A spiking neural model combined with Bayesian inference principles creates a brain-like control algorithm capable of operating in uncertain environments

"By combining a biologically inspired spiking neural model with Bayesian inference principles, we propose a brain-like control algorithm capable of operating in uncertain environments."

There is an asymmetry in neural networks where forward computation has diversified significantly while scalable learning remains concentrated around backpropagation and related methods

"We call this asymmetry the forward-backward disconnect and develop a taxonomy spanning neural model families along three coupled axes: state-dynamics structure, credit-assignment mechanism, and biological grounding."

Across all neural network families, forward dynamics have diversified while the highest demonstrated scales remain concentrated in global or closely gradient-derived error-propagation mechanisms

"Across static, recurrent, attention-based, state-space, continuous-time, implicit, spiking, biologically plausible, and neuromorphic families, forward dynamics have diversified while the highest demonstrated scales remain concentrated in global or closely gradient-derived error-propagation mechanisms."

OpenAI has paused development while implementing new safeguards and diagnosing problems following the HuggingFace attack

"OpenAI has now taken initial steps to address What Happened leading up to HuggingFace attack, including pauses to development while new safeguards are put in place and problems are diagnosed."

OpenAI has problems in alignment, infrastructure and supervision, and in its training pipeline

"the bigger problems are in alignment, infrastructure and supervision, and in its training pipeline."

Anthropic is preparing for an IPO and their revenue continues to climb, though growth has slowed recently

"Anthropic revenue continues to climb as they prepare for their IPO, although growth has slowed somewhat recently."

A Petri net description of biological neural circuits enables deadline-guaranteed real-time execution with formally verifiable timing semantics

"Here, we propose a Petri net description of biological neural circuits that overcomes these limitations by modeling neurons, synapses, and spike events as a T-timed Petri net with formally verifiable timing semantics, enabling deadline-guaranteed real-time execution"

The Petri neuron reproduces expected dynamical signatures while providing formally bounded timing guarantees with worst-case response times matching analytical predictions across all tested cases

"The Petri neuron reproduces the expected dynamical signatures of each circuit while providing formally bounded timing guarantees throughout, with worst-case response times matching analytical predictions across all three cases."

A local approximation of neural network output with respect to perturbations in inputs and parameters is exact for perturbations that preserve the network activation pattern

"This approximation is exact for perturbations that preserve the network activation pattern, and it allows us to compute analytical expressions for the probability density function and characteristic function of the network output, together with closed-form approximations for its mean and covariance."

Numerical experiments on the Lorenz-63 system and Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation demonstrate accurate uncertainty propagation through the predictability horizon for high-dimensional dynamical systems

"Numerical experiments on the Lorenz-63 system and the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation demonstrate accurate uncertainty propagation through the predictability horizon and the applicability of the proposed framework to high-dimensional dynamical systems."

Kurzweil's law of accelerating returns rests on cherry-picked data, and every exponential ends

"Kurzweil's "law of accelerating returns" rests on cherry-picked data, and every exponential ends."

If you grant Bezos perpetual energy growth, humanity would boil the oceans within a few centuries and exhaust the observable universe in under 4,000 years

"Grant Bezos his perpetual energy growth and humanity boils the oceans within a few centuries, then exhausts the observable universe in under 4,000 years."

LLMs are pocket calculators for language where hallucination is the model doing exactly what it always does, not a bug

"On AI, Becker calls LLMs pocket calculators for language: hallucination is the model doing exactly what it always does"

The intelligence explosion assumes intelligence is a single number you can buy with compute

"the intelligence explosion assumes intelligence is a single number you can buy with compute."

AI doomers like Yudkowsky, Bostrom and effective altruists are not grifters but are sincerely wrong, and their warnings feed the same growth story that money depends on

"The sting is that Becker thinks the doomers are sincere. Yudkowsky, Bostrom and the effective altruists are not grifters, he says, just wrong, and their warnings that AI could end the world feed the same growth story the money depends on."

Advancements in autonomous systems and machine intelligence may soon enable states to project force and collect revenue without relying on human cooperation, potentially undermining the fundamental bargain between power and people that has sustained individual freedom throughout history

"Advancements in real-world autonomous systems may soon mean that states will be able to project force—domestically and internationally—without relying on cooperative soldiers or police officers. And advancements in machine intelligence may mean that the state can collect the revenue it needs not from the fruit of individual human labor, but from the outputs of data centers."

Power may no longer require a society-wide bargain to be sustained, and the people may have only a small seat at the negotiating table or none at all

"Power may therefore no longer require a society-wide bargain to be sustained, and the people, broadly conceived, may have only a small seat at the negotiating table, or perhaps none at all."

Concentration of power risks are the largest, most serious, and most conceptually challenging category of AI risk in the long run

"Our team is founded on the idea that, in the long run, this category of risk is the largest, most serious, and most conceptually challenging to address."

Humans can be on their way to disempowerment even if the routine of voting is maintained, and people can be deprived of agency even if a piece of parchment says they are free

"Humans can be on their way to disempowerment even if the routine of voting for our representatives is maintained. People can be deprived of agency even if a piece of parchment says that they are free."