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DigestTopicsClaimsPredictionsReliabilityResearchers

HypeDelta - AI Research Intelligence

Claims Browser

Search and filter through extracted claims from AI researchers.

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Showing 1-3 of 3 claims in topic "benchmarks" of type "prediction"

benchmarks
prediction
Neutral
independent

In a year or two, either AIs will plateau at or slightly above human forecasting levels, or they will achieve ultraforecasting capabilities far beyond top humans

Scott Alexander
8/4/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
benchmarks
prediction
Neutral
critic

AGI will come someday, but pretending every new model is AGI is not hastening that moment

Gary Marcus
8/3/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
benchmarks
prediction
Bullish
critic

Kimi K3 will become the strongest open model purely in terms of raw capability when its weights are released

Zvi Mowshowitz
7/28/2026
Confidence: 80%Source

Pipeline data may be stale or degraded.

Last synthesis: 2026-09-20. 8,949 pending.