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Showing 1-20 of 21 claims in topic "reasoning" of type "prediction"

reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will struggle in developing new mathematical theories in the near term

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
reasoning
2
Page 1 of 2Next
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will not be superior to the best human mathematicians in the near term

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will struggle in writing clear, understandable mathematical proofs in the near term

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
critic

Very soon, AI systems will become robustly better than human mathematicians at solving mathematical problems

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

Astra will be a letdown for people dreaming it is imminent ASI, similar to how GPT-5 was a letdown

Gary Marcus
8/3/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

There may be many corners of math where Astra is less effective

Gary Marcus
8/2/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI models will not deliver the same quality of results on most real-world problems as they do on math problems

Gary Marcus
8/2/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

Astra-like models will likely not deliver quality results for most real-world problems despite being usable

Gary Marcus
8/1/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

Astra will likely disappoint like previous hyped models

Gary Marcus
8/1/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

Astra will be a major step for scientific reasoning

Noam Brown
8/1/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

Fine-tuning LLMs for efficient reasoning with non-invasive interventions that preserve original model behavior could become a standard technique in the field, similar to how quantization has become standard

Thomas Wolf
7/29/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

AI reasoning capabilities will continue to advance significantly year over year

Noam Brown
7/28/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

Scientists and researchers will be able to accomplish significant work with GPT-5.6 Sol Ultra

Noam Brown
7/28/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
reasoning
prediction
Neutral
independent

AI may eventually move to directly generating binary code, but textual code representations still offer advantages for reasoning

John Carmack
7/27/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

When AI makes mathematical proofs cheap, mathematicians' work will shift toward asking deep questions and formulating bold new conjectures

Denny Zhou
7/27/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

When AI makes mathematical proofs cheap, mathematicians' work will increasingly shift toward asking deep questions and formulating bold new conjectures

Denny Zhou
7/27/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

AI will make mathematical proofs cheap

Denny Zhou
7/27/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

When AI makes mathematical proofs cheap, mathematicians' work will increasingly shift toward asking deep questions and formulating bold new conjectures

Denny Zhou
7/27/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

When AI makes proofs cheap, mathematicians' work will shift toward asking deep questions and formulating new conjectures

Denny Zhou
7/27/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
lab researcher

When AI makes mathematical proofs cheap, mathematicians' work will shift toward asking deep questions and formulating new conjectures

Denny Zhou
7/27/2026
Confidence: 70%Source

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Last synthesis: 2026-09-20. 8,949 pending.