prediction · policypending
AI backlash will be significant enough to matter in the 2028 election
Gary MarcusMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
Persisted predictions
Tracked predictions, as recorded.
Every row is a durable prediction. Target dates, outcomes, and next observables are shown only when stored. Null due dates display Target date not normalized instead of an inferred calendar date.
277
Tracked
All persisted rows
277
Open
Pending or too early
0
Resolved
Verified, falsified, or partial
0/277
Target-date coverage
0 have a stored due date
75/277
Source + quote evidence
75 have both
Corpus
Predictions
prediction · policypending
AI backlash was predicted two years ago and will matter in the 2028 election
Gary MarcusMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
Cohere will continue releasing open weight and open source models
Nick FrosstMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- near-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
Cohere will continue releasing open weight and open source models
Nick FrosstMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- near-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI backlash will be significant enough to matter in the 2028 election
Gary MarcusMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
Cohere will continue to release open weight and open source models
Nick FrosstMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI backlash will significantly matter in the 2028 election
Gary MarcusMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
Cohere will continue to release open weight and open source models
Nick FrosstMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- near-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI backlash was predictable and would matter in the 2028 election
Gary MarcusMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- long-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
Cohere will continue releasing open weight and open source models
Nick FrosstMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
There will be an AI backlash that will matter in the 2028 election
Gary MarcusMade 26 Jul 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
Large language models will have adverse impact on news publishers through lowered consumer demand, reduced demand for newsroom employees, and an increase in news 'slop'
Artificial IntelligenceMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- near-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
Canonical source
http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24968v1 (opens in a new tab)prediction · policypending
AI has the potential to democratize entrepreneurship and the American dream, make healthcare more affordable and effective
Greg BrockmanMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
LLMs are changing how consumers acquire information online, leading to predictions of lowered consumer demand for news publishers and reduced demand for newsroom employees
Artificial IntelligenceMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- near-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
Canonical source
http://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24968v1 (opens in a new tab)prediction · policypending
AI has the potential to democratize entrepreneurship and the American dream, make healthcare more affordable and effective
Greg BrockmanMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI will make healthcare more affordable and effective
Greg BrockmanMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- medium-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI has the potential to democratize entrepreneurship and the American dream
Greg BrockmanMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- long-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI has the potential to democratize entrepreneurship and the American dream
Greg BrockmanMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- long-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized
prediction · policypending
AI has the potential to democratize entrepreneurship and the American dream, make healthcare more affordable and effective
Greg BrockmanMade 01 Jan 2026
- Timeframe
- long-term
- Target date
- Target date not normalized