LLM agents commit to directional calls on unpredictable questions 54.0% of the time when shown professional-looking market panels, compared to only 6.5% when asked bare questions, across 12 frontier models

An LLM agent shown a professional-looking market panel commits to a directional call on a provably unpredictable question far more often than one asked the bare question: across 12 frontier models, commitment rises from 6.5% to 54.0% as evidence is escalated.

http://arxiv.org/abs/2608.27167v1