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Showing 21-40 of 135 claims in topic "scaling"

scaling
opinion
Neutral
academic

Scaling generated distillation data should be paired with trait-aware curation and evaluation, even when data appears off-task or benign

"Our results suggest that scaling generated distillation data should be paired with trait-aware curation and evaluation, even when the data appears off-task or benign."
Computation and Language
8/28/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
Previous
1345
scaling
fact
Bearish
lab researcher

Base LLM scaling reached a capability plateau between 2022-2024

Francois Chollet
8/9/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
scaling
opinion
Bullish
lab researcher

After o3's test-time compute demonstration in late 2024, the new models showed genuine fluid intelligence and the LLM line of research could achieve unbounded capability scaling with no wall

Francois Chollet
8/9/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
scaling
prediction
Neutral
lab researcher

Future AI in 15 years will not be based on the LLM stack but will necessarily move closer to symbolic learning as its optimal final form

Francois Chollet
8/9/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
scaling
opinion
Neutral
lab researcher

Current AI techniques are 4-6 orders of magnitude away from optimality in terms of data efficiency and test-time compute efficiency

Francois Chollet
8/9/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
scaling
opinion
Bullish
critic

There is an underserved market for tiny MoE models

Nathan Lambert
8/8/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
scaling
prediction
Bullish
critic

Tiny MoE (Mixture of Experts) models could take off in the market because small models have become much smarter

Nathan Lambert
8/8/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
scaling
fact
Bullish
academic

In 2023 and early 2024, Chollet underestimated the long-term importance of LLMs

Francois Chollet
8/8/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
scaling
opinion
Bullish
academic

LLMs can work as a base to build systems actually capable of fluid intelligence, following the o3 test-time compute breakthrough in December 2024

Francois Chollet
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
scaling
fact
Bearish
academic

The early 2023 narrative that scaling up base LLMs alone could solve AGI did not pan out

Francois Chollet
8/8/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
scaling
fact
Bearish
academic

Current base LLMs still do not perform well on ARC 1 and can't even reliably do simple math operations

Francois Chollet
8/8/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
scaling
opinion
Bullish
academic

Test-time compute (TTC) and harnesses are critical for AI capabilities, and the TTC breakthrough was not obvious

Francois Chollet
8/8/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
scaling
fact
Bearish
critic

Pure scaling of AI models did not work as a strategy for achieving AI progress

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
scaling
fact
Bullish
lab researcher

RL improves reliability more than coverage

Lewis Tunstall
8/8/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
scaling
fact
Neutral
lab researcher

At low total compute budgets, pretraining dominates because weaker policies benefit less from RL

Lewis Tunstall
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
scaling
fact
Neutral
lab researcher

The optimal compute split between pretraining and RL changes with scale, shifting from roughly 20% to 28% RL as budget grows

Lewis Tunstall
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
scaling
fact
Bullish
lab researcher

Stronger pretraining makes RL itself scale better, with pretraining loss determining the performance that can be reached at a given RL budget

Lewis Tunstall
8/8/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
scaling
critique
Bearish
critic

Scaling AI without theoretical understanding is futile despite massive investment

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
scaling
fact
Bullish
journalist

Qwen 3.8 Max is a 2.4T parameter model that would have been the top open model except for Kimi K3

swyx & Alessio
8/4/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
scaling
fact
Bullish
journalist

Qwen models can perform autonomous coding for 10+ days unattended and build complete systems from scratch

swyx & Alessio
8/4/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
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Last synthesis: 2026-09-20. 8,949 pending.