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HypeDelta - AI Research Intelligence

Claims Browser

Search and filter through extracted claims from AI researchers.

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Showing 81-100 of 247 claims of type "prediction"

scaling
prediction
Neutral
lab researcher

Future AI in 15 years will not be based on the LLM stack but will necessarily move closer to symbolic learning as its optimal final form

Francois Chollet
8/9/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
scaling
Previous
146
prediction
Bullish
critic

Tiny MoE (Mixture of Experts) models could take off in the market because small models have become much smarter

Nathan Lambert
8/8/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
safety
prediction
Bearish
critic

Future LLMs will be trained on memes that promote the idea that it's good for AIs to hack others

Nathan Lambert
8/8/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
general
prediction
Neutral
unknown

AI can and will create apps via vibe coding that have obvious flaws

Kirk Borne
8/8/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
safety
prediction
Bearish
critic

The referenced cartoon depicting AI risks or failures is likely to be highly prescient and representative of how the century unfolds

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
robotics
prediction
Bearish
critic

Robots will not be the best surgeons on earth anytime soon

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
general
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will not exceed the intelligence of all people by the end of 2025

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 90%Source
policy
prediction
Neutral
independent

Open weights AI could be the difference between being free yeomen versus corporate serfs if AI becomes the linchpin of the future

Scott Alexander
8/8/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will not be superior to the best human mathematicians in the near term

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 85%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will struggle in writing clear, understandable mathematical proofs in the near term

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bearish
critic

AI will struggle in developing new mathematical theories in the near term

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
reasoning
prediction
Bullish
critic

Very soon, AI systems will become robustly better than human mathematicians at solving mathematical problems

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
general
prediction
Bearish
critic

It is uncertain whether OpenAI and Anthropic can survive the commoditization of AI

Gary Marcus
8/8/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
interpretability
prediction
Neutral
lab researcher

ARC will likely grow rapidly over the next few months

AI Alignment Forum
8/8/2026
Confidence: 80%Source
agents
prediction
Bullish
independent

ChatGPT is estimated to cross 1 billion monthly active users

swyx & Alessio
8/8/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
infrastructure
prediction
Neutral
critic

A single discovery could undermine the need for megascale data centers

Gary Marcus
8/4/2026
Confidence: 40%Source
scaling
prediction
Bullish
journalist

Qwen will open-weight both the 3.8 Max model and related models

swyx & Alessio
8/4/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
benchmarks
prediction
Neutral
independent

In a year or two, either AIs will plateau at or slightly above human forecasting levels, or they will achieve ultraforecasting capabilities far beyond top humans

Scott Alexander
8/4/2026
Confidence: 70%Source
safety
prediction
Bearish
critic

Astra will very likely be vulnerable to the same problems as previous models

Gary Marcus
8/3/2026
Confidence: 75%Source
general
prediction
Bullish
independent

AI Futures Project predicts superhuman AI will arrive in 2027

AXRP
8/3/2026
Confidence: 60%Source
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